DAX DAILY SIGNAL — 2026-04-09

    Trade on Friday 10 Apr 2026
    · Generated 2026-04-09 12:51:50 CET
  

✨ NEW SIGNAL — Generated 12:51 CET · Trade on Friday

🚫 NO TRADE — Losing streak = 11 (>=5) + ATR% = 2.60% (>2.0%)

▼ SHORT

Prob(up) = 0.265 · Confidence 23.4%

SKIP

DO NOT TRADE — Losing streak = 11 (>=5), ATR% = 2.60% (>2.0%)

Entry

DAX Open ~23,800

Friday open (~09:00 CET)

Stop Loss

80 pts from open

SELL → stop at Open + 80

Exit

Market Close

~17:30 CET — close entire position

Risk per trade

0% of equity

0.0x x 2% base risk = 0%

SIZING RULES CHECK

	Rule	Condition	Status	Value
⚠️	R1	Half SHORT trades	HALF	Signal is SHORT
🚫	R2	Skip streak >= 5	SKIP	Streak: 11
🚫	R4	Skip ATR% > 2.0%	SKIP	ATR% = 2.60%
✅	R5	Skip VIX > 25	OK	VIX = 21.5
✅	R6	Boost after 2-3 losses	OK	Streak: 11
✅	R7	Half January	OK	Month: Apr
⚠️	R8	Half BB width Q4 (wide)	HALF	BB=9.2%, Q75=7.1%

MARKET CONDITIONS

VIX

21.5

5d chg: -3.8 · Elevated

ATR%

2.60%

ATR(14) = 619 pts · Extreme

Bollinger Width

9.2%

Q75=7.1% · Wide (Q4) ⚠️

Vol Trend (5d/21d)

1.52x

Expanding

Day / Month

Fri

Apr

Losing Streak

Skip zone

RECENT TRADES

2026-04-08 SHORT -802026-03-16 SHORT -802026-03-12 SHORT -802026-03-11 SHORT -802026-03-10 SHORT -80

60-DAY PERFORMANCE

18 wins 42 losses -177 pips 30% win rate Daily P&L Cumulative

HOW TO TRADE

1. DO NOT TRADE today.

2. Stop: SELL → stop at Open + 80. Hard stop, set immediately.

3. Exit at close (~17:30 CET). No overnight holds.

Entry within 5 min of open is fine · Exit 5-15 min before close is fine · CFDs/futures/spread bets all work · Miss the open = skip the day · Stop is 80 index points

Generated: 2026-04-09 12:51:50 CET · Viewed: 2026-04-09 12:51 CET · Mode: GENERATE
Backtest v2 (4yr): 56.9% dir, Sharpe 2.38 (sized), +8,773 pips, MaxDD -771 · Sizing v2